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Analysts Caution Cardano (ADA) May Drop Further Before $1 Rebound After 12% Dip
Cardano (ADA) fell roughly 27% this week, slipping below the $0.66 support as risk-off flows hit crypto. Bitcoin’s slide toward $104,000 and softer altcoin liquidity magnified downside, and on-chain data shows large holders leaning defensive. Related Reading: Is BlackRock About To Go Public With Ripple And XRP? Here’s What We Know Whale Flows Split as ADA Loses Support Santiment-tracked wallets holding 1–10 million ADA offloaded about 40 million ADA over seven days, while broader whale distribution reportedly reached 350 million ADA, pressuring price. other big wallets accumulated 140–200 million ADA, creating a split tape that’s fueling choppy consolidation between $0.65–$0.70. Derivatives add to the cautious tone. Cardano’s open interest slipped 2.12% to $669.9 million, and long liquidations ($1.13 million) dwarfed shorts ($187,000), signaling bulls bore the brunt of the latest flush. On the 4-hour chart, ADA is carving a falling wedge, but confirmation requires a breakout above $0.74. Until then, momentum indicators remain mixed: RSI 37 (approaching oversold) while CMF 0.12–0.15 hints at returning spot inflows that have yet to overpower supply from large holders. Downside Risk First, Rebound Later Technicians flag a “risk-first” path: losing $0.66 puts $0.65 in play; failure there opens $0.62–$0.60, then $0.57 (channel/structure confluence). A deeper shakeout could probe $0.53 if broader crypto weakness persists. On the upside, ADA must reclaim $0.66 and then clear $0.74–$0.80 (50-day EMA cluster) to flip trend strength. Above that range, bulls target $0.86, with a psychological $1.00 retest feasible into Q4 if risk appetite and flows improve. Several analysts still eye a path toward $1.20–$1.60 on a confirmed breakout, but most caution the market may dip before it rips given leverage resets and uneven liquidity. ETF headlines (including the Oct. 23 Grayscale ADA ETF decision window), stablecoin and ETF net flows, and whether whale selling cools. A rotation back into altcoins typically follows BTC stabilization; conversely, renewed BTC downside would likely extend ADA’s consolidation near the lows. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Treasury, Staking, and Ecosystem Still Build Beyond price, Cardano’s community treasury has surpassed 1.6 billion ADA ($1 billion), funded by fees and staking rewards and governed via Project Catalyst, a war chest that supports tooling, DeFi, and infrastructure without VC overhang. Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Still Hit A 600% Rally To Send It Above $1.5 New staking access (e.g., eToro U.S.) and ongoing initiatives like Midnight and Leios continue to broaden the roadmap, even as TVL ($288 million) lags larger chains. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD on Tradingview
Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End?
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s price from $124,000 to around $107,000 within 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? The Cycle Phase Score combines market trend and short-term momentum (Z-Score) to show Bitcoin’s current phase. Positive values indicate upward momentum, while negative values signal short-term weakness or a correction. The decline in the Cycle Phase Score shows that the BTC market has lost some of its upward momentum that benefited it during the first two weeks of October. The transition to negative territory shows the start of a structural correction phase, following weeks of consecutive gains. The analyst explained that a trend_signal of -1 confirms that BTC’s price has tumbled below the 200-day moving average. It is likely to trade below this metric until it can decisively break through the $106,780 level. Similarly, a negative Z-score shows that Bitcoin’s price is trading significantly below its short-term average, further confirming the dominance of short-term selling pressure. Arab Chain added: Analytically, this movement can be viewed as a rebalancing phase within the ongoing cycle, rather than the start of a long-term downtrend. The current pullback follows a strong period of price expansion, which is often followed by a temporary pause in momentum before the main trend resumes. Arab Chain concluded by saying that if BTC’s price finds stability above $105,000 in the coming days, then the Cycle Phase Score indicator may re-enter the positive region again. Such a development could signal the end of the ongoing price correction phase. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000? As BTC trades close to the mid $100,000 level, fears are rising in the market that the digital asset may fall below the psychologically important $100,000 mark. Further, on-chain data is not particularly encouraging, as the Bitcoin network activity recently crashed below the 365-day average. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s On-Chain Roadmap Shows $111,000 – $143,000 As The Range To Watch In addition, crypto analyst CryptoBirb recently stated that the current BTC bull cycle is likely coming to an end. The analyst remarked that Bitcoin is almost 99.3% through its current cycle. That said, whale accumulation of BTC is showing no signs of slowing down. Companies added a total of 176,000 BTC to their treasuries during Q3 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $105,484, down 5.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Analysts Caution Cardano (ADA) May Drop Further Before $1 Rebound After 12% Dip
Cardano (ADA) fell roughly 27% this week, slipping below the $0.66 support as risk-off flows hit crypto. Bitcoin’s slide toward $104,000 and softer altcoin liquidity magnified downside, and on-chain data shows large holders leaning defensive. Related Reading: Is BlackRock About To Go Public With Ripple And XRP? Here’s What We Know Whale Flows Split as ADA Loses Support Santiment-tracked wallets holding 1–10 million ADA offloaded about 40 million ADA over seven days, while broader whale distribution reportedly reached 350 million ADA, pressuring price. other big wallets accumulated 140–200 million ADA, creating a split tape that’s fueling choppy consolidation between $0.65–$0.70. Derivatives add to the cautious tone. Cardano’s open interest slipped 2.12% to $669.9 million, and long liquidations ($1.13 million) dwarfed shorts ($187,000), signaling bulls bore the brunt of the latest flush. On the 4-hour chart, ADA is carving a falling wedge, but confirmation requires a breakout above $0.74. Until then, momentum indicators remain mixed: RSI 37 (approaching oversold) while CMF 0.12–0.15 hints at returning spot inflows that have yet to overpower supply from large holders. Downside Risk First, Rebound Later Technicians flag a “risk-first” path: losing $0.66 puts $0.65 in play; failure there opens $0.62–$0.60, then $0.57 (channel/structure confluence). A deeper shakeout could probe $0.53 if broader crypto weakness persists. On the upside, ADA must reclaim $0.66 and then clear $0.74–$0.80 (50-day EMA cluster) to flip trend strength. Above that range, bulls target $0.86, with a psychological $1.00 retest feasible into Q4 if risk appetite and flows improve. Several analysts still eye a path toward $1.20–$1.60 on a confirmed breakout, but most caution the market may dip before it rips given leverage resets and uneven liquidity. ETF headlines (including the Oct. 23 Grayscale ADA ETF decision window), stablecoin and ETF net flows, and whether whale selling cools. A rotation back into altcoins typically follows BTC stabilization; conversely, renewed BTC downside would likely extend ADA’s consolidation near the lows. ADA's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ADAUSD on Tradingview Treasury, Staking, and Ecosystem Still Build Beyond price, Cardano’s community treasury has surpassed 1.6 billion ADA ($1 billion), funded by fees and staking rewards and governed via Project Catalyst, a war chest that supports tooling, DeFi, and infrastructure without VC overhang. Related Reading: Why The Dogecoin Price Could Still Hit A 600% Rally To Send It Above $1.5 New staking access (e.g., eToro U.S.) and ongoing initiatives like Midnight and Leios continue to broaden the roadmap, even as TVL ($288 million) lags larger chains. Cover image from ChatGPT, ADAUSD on Tradingview
Bitcoin Cycle Score Turns Negative With Trend Below $106,780 – When Will The Correction End?
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to lose momentum, as the flagship cryptocurrency fell to $103,528 earlier today amid an increasingly uncertain global macroeconomic outlook. Fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is currently undergoing a critical transition phase within its price cycle. Bitcoin Fall Continues – When Will Bloodbath End? According to a CryptoQuant QuickTake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is currently undergoing an important transition phase within its market cycle. The Bitcoin Cycle Phase Score recently entered negative territory, in tandem with a decline in BTC’s price from $124,000 to around $107,000 within 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Feels “Too Efficient” As Arbitrage Opportunities Vanish – What It Means For Price? The Cycle Phase Score combines market trend and short-term momentum (Z-Score) to show Bitcoin’s current phase. Positive values indicate upward momentum, while negative values signal short-term weakness or a correction. The decline in the Cycle Phase Score shows that the BTC market has lost some of its upward momentum that benefited it during the first two weeks of October. The transition to negative territory shows the start of a structural correction phase, following weeks of consecutive gains. The analyst explained that a trend_signal of -1 confirms that BTC’s price has tumbled below the 200-day moving average. It is likely to trade below this metric until it can decisively break through the $106,780 level. Similarly, a negative Z-score shows that Bitcoin’s price is trading significantly below its short-term average, further confirming the dominance of short-term selling pressure. Arab Chain added: Analytically, this movement can be viewed as a rebalancing phase within the ongoing cycle, rather than the start of a long-term downtrend. The current pullback follows a strong period of price expansion, which is often followed by a temporary pause in momentum before the main trend resumes. Arab Chain concluded by saying that if BTC’s price finds stability above $105,000 in the coming days, then the Cycle Phase Score indicator may re-enter the positive region again. Such a development could signal the end of the ongoing price correction phase. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000? As BTC trades close to the mid $100,000 level, fears are rising in the market that the digital asset may fall below the psychologically important $100,000 mark. Further, on-chain data is not particularly encouraging, as the Bitcoin network activity recently crashed below the 365-day average. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s On-Chain Roadmap Shows $111,000 – $143,000 As The Range To Watch In addition, crypto analyst CryptoBirb recently stated that the current BTC bull cycle is likely coming to an end. The analyst remarked that Bitcoin is almost 99.3% through its current cycle. That said, whale accumulation of BTC is showing no signs of slowing down. Companies added a total of 176,000 BTC to their treasuries during Q3 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $105,484, down 5.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com