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Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Show Signs Of Selling â Is A Reversal Imminent?
Recent on-chain data shows that a relevant class of Bitcoin investors known as long-term holders has continued to move out of their market positions. LTHs Actively Switching To Distribution In a November 1st post on social media platform X, popular on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an insight into the prevalent structural bias among Bitcoinâs long-term holders. Kesmeciâs analysis hinges on the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which tracks the net buying or selling behavior of Bitcoinâs long-term investors over a period of 30 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A âDo-Or-Dieâ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst A positive reading is usually interpreted as a sign that the LTHs are in a net accumulation phase, as there are more market participants within this investor class buying Bitcoin than those who are selling. On the flipside, when the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric is negative, it means that the LTHs are in a distribution phase. Kesmeci explained in his post that there has been an increasing amount of momentum towards the sell side of the metric. In the highlighted chart, around 400,000 BTC appears to have been sold off in the past 30 days. Interestingly, the LTHs donât seem to be easing off on their sales â a behavior which stands equally as a source of concern. In a case where Bitcoinâs long-term investors do desist from selling their holdings, Bitcoin could put in a local price bottom, as this typically indicates renewed interest and âsmart moneyâ positioning for the next cycle. However, if this distribution momentum continues to grow, the premier cryptocurrency could continue towards the downside, as its long-term holders continue to inject more bearish pressure. LTH 2.2% Supply Drop Relatively Modest â Analyst In another X post, crypto pundit Darkfost shed light on the implications of Bitcoinâs LTH behavior shift. According to the analyst, the 2.2% âmodest reductionâ of Bitcoin LTH supply in October is not much to worry about, especially when compared to the levels seen in 2024. As of March 2024, Bitcoinâs LTH supply dropped by approximately 5.05%. In December, there was an even higher decline of about 5.2%. Darkfost implied that the present distribution the market is seeing could therefore be a result of early profit taking, where the market could soon see a rebound of the Bitcoin price. Nonetheless, the long-term holder net positionâs trend is one that should be monitored, as a move back towards neutral readings could signal the start of an accumulation phase and subsequent price reversal to the upside. As of this writing, BTC is valued at approximately $110,750, with no significant movement in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hidden Setup â Triangle Support, Inverse H&S Signal A Powerful Reversal Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Altcoins To Rally As Bitcoin Dominance Mirrors July 2025 Setup â Details
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is creating a familiar pattern that points to an incoming altcoin surge. This development comes as the general crypto market continues to show high levels of volatility driven by macro influences, as seen in the majority of October. Related Reading: Are Bitcoin Investors Back In Accumulation Mode? On-Chain Data Says âPossiblyâ Bitcoin Dominance To Retest 53% Level: Altcoin Capital Rush? In an X post on November 1, renowned market expert with the username PlanD outlines an insightful analysis of the Bitcoin Dominance chart, which measures the percentage of Bitcoinâs share of the total crypto market cap. Generally, a rise in Bitcoin Dominance indicates the premier cryptocurrency is outperforming other cryptocurrencies (altcoins) while a vice versa indicates the opposite, with extreme situations representing an altseason. According to PlanD, the Bitcoin Dominance is now forming a similar trend, which mirrors the altcoin rally in July 2025. Notably, the BTC.D sustained an uptrend of approximately 50 days before breaking down to significant levels, representing a heavy rotation of capital to other cryptocurrencies outside Bitcoin. The crypto analyst notes that the Bitcoin Dominance is at the peak level of this similar structure, with the technical groundwork now complete for another sharp breakdown. If the BTC.D follows the same pattern, PlanD predicts a potential fall to around 53%. With the present total crypto market cap around $3.71 trillion, this projection could represent a heavy influx of approximately $222.6 billion into altcoins over the next few weeks. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Loading: Bullish Factors That Point To A Massive Surge The Altseason Signal To Watch Out For As previously noted, an altseason occurs when altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin over an extended period. While PlanDâs analysis suggests an impending altcoin rally, its duration remains uncertain. However, fellow analyst Ted Pillows has pointed to a key indicator that would confirm the start of an altseason. In a recent post on X, he explained that altseason is only validated once the total altcoin market capitalization, excluding stablecoins, reaches a new all-time high. At present, this benchmark stands at $1.03 trillion, whereas the current altcoin market cap (excluding stablecoins) is approximately $718.89 billion. Considering PlanDâs prediction, there is much potential to hit this required threshold in the short term. Meanwhile, recent macro developments are also encouraging for projected altcoin inflows. Notably, two Solana Spot ETFs marked their trading debut this week, marking the significant expansion of institutional interest beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. At press time, the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index stands at 31, suggesting that the market is still firmly in Bitcoin season, and altcoins require a major outperformance to shift the scale. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Show Signs Of Selling â Is A Reversal Imminent?
Recent on-chain data shows that a relevant class of Bitcoin investors known as long-term holders has continued to move out of their market positions. LTHs Actively Switching To Distribution In a November 1st post on social media platform X, popular on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci shared an insight into the prevalent structural bias among Bitcoinâs long-term holders. Kesmeciâs analysis hinges on the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which tracks the net buying or selling behavior of Bitcoinâs long-term investors over a period of 30 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin At A âDo-Or-Dieâ Level As Cycle Faces First Real Test: Analyst A positive reading is usually interpreted as a sign that the LTHs are in a net accumulation phase, as there are more market participants within this investor class buying Bitcoin than those who are selling. On the flipside, when the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric is negative, it means that the LTHs are in a distribution phase. Kesmeci explained in his post that there has been an increasing amount of momentum towards the sell side of the metric. In the highlighted chart, around 400,000 BTC appears to have been sold off in the past 30 days. Interestingly, the LTHs donât seem to be easing off on their sales â a behavior which stands equally as a source of concern. In a case where Bitcoinâs long-term investors do desist from selling their holdings, Bitcoin could put in a local price bottom, as this typically indicates renewed interest and âsmart moneyâ positioning for the next cycle. However, if this distribution momentum continues to grow, the premier cryptocurrency could continue towards the downside, as its long-term holders continue to inject more bearish pressure. LTH 2.2% Supply Drop Relatively Modest â Analyst In another X post, crypto pundit Darkfost shed light on the implications of Bitcoinâs LTH behavior shift. According to the analyst, the 2.2% âmodest reductionâ of Bitcoin LTH supply in October is not much to worry about, especially when compared to the levels seen in 2024. As of March 2024, Bitcoinâs LTH supply dropped by approximately 5.05%. In December, there was an even higher decline of about 5.2%. Darkfost implied that the present distribution the market is seeing could therefore be a result of early profit taking, where the market could soon see a rebound of the Bitcoin price. Nonetheless, the long-term holder net positionâs trend is one that should be monitored, as a move back towards neutral readings could signal the start of an accumulation phase and subsequent price reversal to the upside. As of this writing, BTC is valued at approximately $110,750, with no significant movement in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hidden Setup â Triangle Support, Inverse H&S Signal A Powerful Reversal Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Altcoins To Rally As Bitcoin Dominance Mirrors July 2025 Setup â Details
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is creating a familiar pattern that points to an incoming altcoin surge. This development comes as the general crypto market continues to show high levels of volatility driven by macro influences, as seen in the majority of October. Related Reading: Are Bitcoin Investors Back In Accumulation Mode? On-Chain Data Says âPossiblyâ Bitcoin Dominance To Retest 53% Level: Altcoin Capital Rush? In an X post on November 1, renowned market expert with the username PlanD outlines an insightful analysis of the Bitcoin Dominance chart, which measures the percentage of Bitcoinâs share of the total crypto market cap. Generally, a rise in Bitcoin Dominance indicates the premier cryptocurrency is outperforming other cryptocurrencies (altcoins) while a vice versa indicates the opposite, with extreme situations representing an altseason. According to PlanD, the Bitcoin Dominance is now forming a similar trend, which mirrors the altcoin rally in July 2025. Notably, the BTC.D sustained an uptrend of approximately 50 days before breaking down to significant levels, representing a heavy rotation of capital to other cryptocurrencies outside Bitcoin. The crypto analyst notes that the Bitcoin Dominance is at the peak level of this similar structure, with the technical groundwork now complete for another sharp breakdown. If the BTC.D follows the same pattern, PlanD predicts a potential fall to around 53%. With the present total crypto market cap around $3.71 trillion, this projection could represent a heavy influx of approximately $222.6 billion into altcoins over the next few weeks. Related Reading: Altcoin Season Loading: Bullish Factors That Point To A Massive Surge The Altseason Signal To Watch Out For As previously noted, an altseason occurs when altcoins significantly outperform Bitcoin over an extended period. While PlanDâs analysis suggests an impending altcoin rally, its duration remains uncertain. However, fellow analyst Ted Pillows has pointed to a key indicator that would confirm the start of an altseason. In a recent post on X, he explained that altseason is only validated once the total altcoin market capitalization, excluding stablecoins, reaches a new all-time high. At present, this benchmark stands at $1.03 trillion, whereas the current altcoin market cap (excluding stablecoins) is approximately $718.89 billion. Considering PlanDâs prediction, there is much potential to hit this required threshold in the short term. Meanwhile, recent macro developments are also encouraging for projected altcoin inflows. Notably, two Solana Spot ETFs marked their trading debut this week, marking the significant expansion of institutional interest beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. At press time, the CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index stands at 31, suggesting that the market is still firmly in Bitcoin season, and altcoins require a major outperformance to shift the scale. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView