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Why Is Bitcoin Up Today? Key Reasons Explained
Bitcoin pushed sharply higher in early European trade on Monday, November 10, 2025, briefly reclaiming the $106,000 handle after a volatile weekend. The move arrives as a cluster of macro-liquidity signals and policy headlines flips risk appetite at the margins. Why Is Bitcoin Price Up Today? Under the surface, traders point to three interlocking drivers: an abrupt shift in Federal Reserve balance-sheet guidance, rising odds that Washingtonâs shutdown saga could be resolved imminently with a subsequent Treasury General Account (TGA) drawdown, and a fresh wave of policy chatterâfrom 50-year mortgages to potential relief checksâthat revives the âliquidity impulseâ debate. The most concrete development is the Fedâs communication pivot on reserves and the balance sheet. New York Fed President John Williams signaled last week that, with reserves sliding from âabundantâ toward merely âample,â the central bank may soon need to resume asset purchasesânot for stimulus, but to maintain smooth money-market functioning as the Fed halts quantitative tightening on December 1 and begins fully reinvesting maturing Treasuries. Related Reading: Bitcoin Correction Nears Peak Point â Is A Rebound Underway? âThe Fed may soon need to expand the balance sheet for liquidity needs,â Williams said, emphasizing any buying would be technical rather than a new QE program. QT will stop on December 1 and officials are preparing for balance-sheet growth as needed to stabilize reserves. Washington politics, paradoxically, is the other tailwind. Prediction markets now handicap material odds that the record-long US government shutdown will be resolved in mid-November. Polymarket shows odds for 87% for a resolution between November 12â15 range. Why does that matter for Bitcoin? Because when a shutdown ends, Treasury spending typically picks up and, all else equal, cash flows out of the TGA at the Fed into the banking system, raising bank reserves. That mechanical linkageâTGA down, reserves upâhas been well documented. A reserve boost, especially with the Fed no longer draining liquidity via QT, is the kind of macro backdrop that has historically coincided with stronger crypto bid. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Craze: OI Looks Set To Keep Printing ATHs, Glassnode Says Into that mix, fresh policy chatter is stoking âliquidity imagination.â Over the weekend, President Trump and FHFA leadership floated the idea of permitting 50-year mortgages, a change that, if implemented through the government-sponsored enterprises, would materially reshape US housing finance duration and lower monthly payments at the cost of higher lifetime interest. On X, the liquidity narrative is being distilledâloudlyâinto punchy memes and historical analogies. Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) summed up the dayâs bull case: âBullish weekly close. 90% chance US shutdown ends this week (Polymarket). Fed dropping rates 1% over 18 months. Fed confirmed plan to grow balance sheet! Equities Fear & Greed in extreme Fear! Put/Call ratio bullish. Send Bitcoin back up.â James Lavish (@jameslavish) pushed the fiscal angle: âTrump is floating $2K stimmy checks, the FHFA is considering 50-year mortgages, and the US government continues to run $2 trillion deficits. Please tell me again how the era of easy liquidity and asset inflation is ending.â Yann Allemann and Jan Happel, the co-founders of the blockchain data and intelligence platform Glassnode(@Negentropic_) tied it back to the TGA: âDeal for gov shutdown on the horizon. This will give the Treasury a green light to start draining the TGA. This is a major ingredient for the final up leg to play out.â Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) added a retail-flow callback: âWelcome back, helicopter money⊠had you invested your $1,200 stimulus check in Bitcoin, itâd now be worth $18,607. Donât mess this up.â At press time, Bitcoin traded at $106,265. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Why Is Bitcoin Up Today? Key Reasons Explained
Bitcoin pushed sharply higher in early European trade on Monday, November 10, 2025, briefly reclaiming the $106,000 handle after a volatile weekend. The move arrives as a cluster of macro-liquidity signals and policy headlines flips risk appetite at the margins. Why Is Bitcoin Price Up Today? Under the surface, traders point to three interlocking drivers: an abrupt shift in Federal Reserve balance-sheet guidance, rising odds that Washingtonâs shutdown saga could be resolved imminently with a subsequent Treasury General Account (TGA) drawdown, and a fresh wave of policy chatterâfrom 50-year mortgages to potential relief checksâthat revives the âliquidity impulseâ debate. The most concrete development is the Fedâs communication pivot on reserves and the balance sheet. New York Fed President John Williams signaled last week that, with reserves sliding from âabundantâ toward merely âample,â the central bank may soon need to resume asset purchasesânot for stimulus, but to maintain smooth money-market functioning as the Fed halts quantitative tightening on December 1 and begins fully reinvesting maturing Treasuries. Related Reading: Bitcoin Correction Nears Peak Point â Is A Rebound Underway? âThe Fed may soon need to expand the balance sheet for liquidity needs,â Williams said, emphasizing any buying would be technical rather than a new QE program. QT will stop on December 1 and officials are preparing for balance-sheet growth as needed to stabilize reserves. Washington politics, paradoxically, is the other tailwind. Prediction markets now handicap material odds that the record-long US government shutdown will be resolved in mid-November. Polymarket shows odds for 87% for a resolution between November 12â15 range. Why does that matter for Bitcoin? Because when a shutdown ends, Treasury spending typically picks up and, all else equal, cash flows out of the TGA at the Fed into the banking system, raising bank reserves. That mechanical linkageâTGA down, reserves upâhas been well documented. A reserve boost, especially with the Fed no longer draining liquidity via QT, is the kind of macro backdrop that has historically coincided with stronger crypto bid. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Craze: OI Looks Set To Keep Printing ATHs, Glassnode Says Into that mix, fresh policy chatter is stoking âliquidity imagination.â Over the weekend, President Trump and FHFA leadership floated the idea of permitting 50-year mortgages, a change that, if implemented through the government-sponsored enterprises, would materially reshape US housing finance duration and lower monthly payments at the cost of higher lifetime interest. On X, the liquidity narrative is being distilledâloudlyâinto punchy memes and historical analogies. Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) summed up the dayâs bull case: âBullish weekly close. 90% chance US shutdown ends this week (Polymarket). Fed dropping rates 1% over 18 months. Fed confirmed plan to grow balance sheet! Equities Fear & Greed in extreme Fear! Put/Call ratio bullish. Send Bitcoin back up.â James Lavish (@jameslavish) pushed the fiscal angle: âTrump is floating $2K stimmy checks, the FHFA is considering 50-year mortgages, and the US government continues to run $2 trillion deficits. Please tell me again how the era of easy liquidity and asset inflation is ending.â Yann Allemann and Jan Happel, the co-founders of the blockchain data and intelligence platform Glassnode(@Negentropic_) tied it back to the TGA: âDeal for gov shutdown on the horizon. This will give the Treasury a green light to start draining the TGA. This is a major ingredient for the final up leg to play out.â Joe Consorti (@JoeConsorti) added a retail-flow callback: âWelcome back, helicopter money⊠had you invested your $1,200 stimulus check in Bitcoin, itâd now be worth $18,607. Donât mess this up.â At press time, Bitcoin traded at $106,265. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com