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Bitcoin UTXO Age Bands Put Local Bottom At $95K — Here’s Why
After a disappointing performance during the week, the price of Bitcoin has continued its sluggish action over the weekend. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency has been hovering around the $102,000 level over the past 24 hours. While this current choppy price action seems like an improvement from the severe downturn witnessed in recent days, it doesn’t particularly bring calm to the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data suggests that the Bitcoin price might still be at risk of further correction in the coming days. Why BTC Price Might Find Bottom Around $95,000 In a November 8 post on the social media platform X, on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci predicted the local bottom for the price of Bitcoin. According to the crypto pundit, the flagship cryptocurrency could fall to as low as $95,000 before seeing relief and perhaps rebounding to new price highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Surge To $5,500: What To Watch Out For To Mark The Bottom The relevant metric here is the Realized Price of Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) age bands, which evaluate the holding pattern of different investor classes through their different realized prices. The UTXO age bands metric tracks the average price at which Bitcoin holders purchased their coins compared to how long they’ve held the assets. The age bands under focus in Kesmeci’s analysis are the 1-week to 1-month group (green line) and the 1-month to 3-month cohort (purple line), which offer insight into short-term holders’ behavior and overall market sentiment. According to the on-chain analyst, the green line has crossed below the purple line three times in 2025. Kesmeci noted that this cross often preceded short-term corrections, including the ones seen on February 24 ($99,000 to $76,000) and September 8 ($117,000 to $109,000). Similarly, this cross occurred on November 1, with the Bitcoin price falling from $110,000 to $99,000. Furthermore, the average dip suffered by the Bitcoin price on these three occasions stands at around 13.3%, with a 45-day consolidation period. Based on this historical pattern, Kesmeci expects the Bitcoin price bottom to form around the $95,000 and $96,000 region after the most recent crossing of the 1-week to 1-month band below the 1-month to 3-month band. Kesmeci concluded: In short, long-term investors are in the red, and this is an undesirable situation for a bull cycle. However, if history repeats itself, Bitcoin may “catch its breath” once more in this region and prepare the ground for a new rise. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands around $102,440, reflecting a nearly 1% decline in the past day. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Launch Recovery To $120,000 If This Condition Holds – Details Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Trump’s Bitcoin Bet Grows: American Bitcoin Now Holds Over 4,000 BTC
American Bitcoin, the Nasdaq-listed mining and treasury firm backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., has raised its Bitcoin stash to 4,000 BTC, worth about $415 million, according to a company announcement released Friday. Related Reading: XRP On Fire: Over 21,000 New Wallets Appear In 48 Hours The firm purchased nearly 170 BTC between October 24 and November 5, a haul valued at more than $14 million at current market rates. American Bitcoin Boosts Holdings Eric Trump, listed as co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer, said the company is growing its stock of Bitcoin through a mix of scaled mining operations and market purchases. Reports have disclosed that this size of accumulation puts American Bitcoin at about the 25th spot among corporate Bitcoin holders, based on data from Bitcointreasuries.net. The Michael Saylor-led Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) remains far ahead as the largest corporate holder with more than 641,000 BTC on its books, worth around $66 billion. Trump-Linked Ventures Report Large Crypto Gains Based on reports, members of the Trump family have collected roughly $1 billion in pre-tax gains over the last year from a range of crypto projects. Those projects include memecoins such as TRUMP and MELANIA, which together reportedly brought in about $427 million, plus the WLFI token with about $550 million in gains. Reports also point to big outside backers. Chinese entrepreneur Justin Sun is reported to have invested $75 million in WLFI, while Abu Dhabi’s MGX fund is said to have provided $2 billion to Binance using the USD1 stablecoin. The family’s various ventures have pushed their combined crypto exposure into the multi-billion dollar range. Mining Margins Squeeze Firms After Halving Miners across the sector are feeling pressure after the 2024 Bitcoin halving cut block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. That change tightened profit margins, forcing some operators to seek new revenue streams, including AI-focused computing services. American Bitcoin’s model ties mining and treasury accumulation together, but the economics for smaller miners are getting tougher. TRUMP MEDIA AND TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDS OVER $1 BILLION OF BITCOIN Trump Media and Technology Group ($DJT) has disclosed holdings of over $1.3 Billion of BTC as of September 30th 2025.$DJT holds $BTC. pic.twitter.com/WzAIOnN29y — Arkham (@arkham) November 8, 2025 Trump Media’s Holdings And The Broader Picture Regulatory filings show that Trump Media and Technology Group now holds more than 11,500 BTC, worth over $1.3 billion, even as the company records heavy operating losses. Related Reading: XRP’s Price Doesn’t Match Its Growing Real-World Use, Study Finds The concentration of Bitcoin across several Trump-linked businesses points to a deliberate strategy: treat Bitcoin as a reserve asset and a core part of several commercial efforts. Bitcoin was trading at $102,175 at press time, up a meager 0.3% over 24 hours. That price sits about 15% below the all-time high of $126,000 reached in early October. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin UTXO Age Bands Put Local Bottom At $95K — Here’s Why
After a disappointing performance during the week, the price of Bitcoin has continued its sluggish action over the weekend. According to data from CoinGecko, the premier cryptocurrency has been hovering around the $102,000 level over the past 24 hours. While this current choppy price action seems like an improvement from the severe downturn witnessed in recent days, it doesn’t particularly bring calm to the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data suggests that the Bitcoin price might still be at risk of further correction in the coming days. Why BTC Price Might Find Bottom Around $95,000 In a November 8 post on the social media platform X, on-chain analyst Burak Kesmeci predicted the local bottom for the price of Bitcoin. According to the crypto pundit, the flagship cryptocurrency could fall to as low as $95,000 before seeing relief and perhaps rebounding to new price highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Surge To $5,500: What To Watch Out For To Mark The Bottom The relevant metric here is the Realized Price of Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) age bands, which evaluate the holding pattern of different investor classes through their different realized prices. The UTXO age bands metric tracks the average price at which Bitcoin holders purchased their coins compared to how long they’ve held the assets. The age bands under focus in Kesmeci’s analysis are the 1-week to 1-month group (green line) and the 1-month to 3-month cohort (purple line), which offer insight into short-term holders’ behavior and overall market sentiment. According to the on-chain analyst, the green line has crossed below the purple line three times in 2025. Kesmeci noted that this cross often preceded short-term corrections, including the ones seen on February 24 ($99,000 to $76,000) and September 8 ($117,000 to $109,000). Similarly, this cross occurred on November 1, with the Bitcoin price falling from $110,000 to $99,000. Furthermore, the average dip suffered by the Bitcoin price on these three occasions stands at around 13.3%, with a 45-day consolidation period. Based on this historical pattern, Kesmeci expects the Bitcoin price bottom to form around the $95,000 and $96,000 region after the most recent crossing of the 1-week to 1-month band below the 1-month to 3-month band. Kesmeci concluded: In short, long-term investors are in the red, and this is an undesirable situation for a bull cycle. However, if history repeats itself, Bitcoin may “catch its breath” once more in this region and prepare the ground for a new rise. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands around $102,440, reflecting a nearly 1% decline in the past day. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Launch Recovery To $120,000 If This Condition Holds – Details Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Trump’s Bitcoin Bet Grows: American Bitcoin Now Holds Over 4,000 BTC
American Bitcoin, the Nasdaq-listed mining and treasury firm backed by Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., has raised its Bitcoin stash to 4,000 BTC, worth about $415 million, according to a company announcement released Friday. Related Reading: XRP On Fire: Over 21,000 New Wallets Appear In 48 Hours The firm purchased nearly 170 BTC between October 24 and November 5, a haul valued at more than $14 million at current market rates. American Bitcoin Boosts Holdings Eric Trump, listed as co-founder and Chief Strategy Officer, said the company is growing its stock of Bitcoin through a mix of scaled mining operations and market purchases. Reports have disclosed that this size of accumulation puts American Bitcoin at about the 25th spot among corporate Bitcoin holders, based on data from Bitcointreasuries.net. The Michael Saylor-led Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) remains far ahead as the largest corporate holder with more than 641,000 BTC on its books, worth around $66 billion. Trump-Linked Ventures Report Large Crypto Gains Based on reports, members of the Trump family have collected roughly $1 billion in pre-tax gains over the last year from a range of crypto projects. Those projects include memecoins such as TRUMP and MELANIA, which together reportedly brought in about $427 million, plus the WLFI token with about $550 million in gains. Reports also point to big outside backers. Chinese entrepreneur Justin Sun is reported to have invested $75 million in WLFI, while Abu Dhabi’s MGX fund is said to have provided $2 billion to Binance using the USD1 stablecoin. The family’s various ventures have pushed their combined crypto exposure into the multi-billion dollar range. Mining Margins Squeeze Firms After Halving Miners across the sector are feeling pressure after the 2024 Bitcoin halving cut block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. That change tightened profit margins, forcing some operators to seek new revenue streams, including AI-focused computing services. American Bitcoin’s model ties mining and treasury accumulation together, but the economics for smaller miners are getting tougher. TRUMP MEDIA AND TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDS OVER $1 BILLION OF BITCOIN Trump Media and Technology Group ($DJT) has disclosed holdings of over $1.3 Billion of BTC as of September 30th 2025.$DJT holds $BTC. pic.twitter.com/WzAIOnN29y — Arkham (@arkham) November 8, 2025 Trump Media’s Holdings And The Broader Picture Regulatory filings show that Trump Media and Technology Group now holds more than 11,500 BTC, worth over $1.3 billion, even as the company records heavy operating losses. Related Reading: XRP’s Price Doesn’t Match Its Growing Real-World Use, Study Finds The concentration of Bitcoin across several Trump-linked businesses points to a deliberate strategy: treat Bitcoin as a reserve asset and a core part of several commercial efforts. Bitcoin was trading at $102,175 at press time, up a meager 0.3% over 24 hours. That price sits about 15% below the all-time high of $126,000 reached in early October. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView