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Big Bitcoin Holders Are Selling, But Few Buyers Are Stepping In As Demand Weakens
Bitcoinâs price has struggled to maintain stability above $102,000 in recent days, and data shows this is due to an apparent imbalance between selling pressure and fresh demand. On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that while long-term holders have been actively taking profits, the market is showing limited capacity to absorb their sell-offs. This is a contrast to previous phases of the bull run, where rising demand was able to offset increased long-term holder activity. Related Reading: XRPâs Price Doesnât Match Its Growing Real-World Use, Study Finds Rising Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure Mirrors Past Bull Cycles Data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, which was initially shared by Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, shows an interesting change in dynamics among Bitcoin holder activity that could shape the cryptocurrencyâs next move. Julio Moreno explained that long-term holder (LTH) selling is a normal pattern in bull markets as investors take profits when Bitcoin approaches or surpasses all-time highs. The CryptoQuant data shows that the 30-day sum of LTH spending, represented by the purple line in the chart image below, has been increasing since early October. This behavior follows previous bullish rally phases, such as those seen in early and late 2024, when profit-taking coincided with expanding demand, and so Bitcoin pushed to new record prices. The chart accompanying Morenoâs post shows green areas representing periods of positive apparent demand growth and red areas indicating contraction. During January to March 2024 and November to December 2024, LTH selloffs occurred as demand expanded. Bitcoin Long-term Holder Spending Since October 2025, however, that trend has reversed. Even as LTH selling increased, demand has entered a red zone, showing that the marketâs ability to absorb this selling pressure has weakened. This has coincided with Bitcoinâs struggle to sustain its position above $102,000, suggesting that price growth might be losing momentum. Sustained Weak Demand Could Delay Next Rally Moreno noted that the critical factor to watch isnât just the volume of long-term holder sell-offs but whether demand growth can keep pace. When demand is strong, the influx of supply from long-term holders often drives healthy consolidation before another price surge. In contrast, when demand falls behind, the result tends to be prolonged corrections or sideways movement. A large portion of that demand now comes from Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have seen a sharp slowdown in inflows. Data from SosoValue shows that US-based Spot Bitcoin ETFs ended last week with net outflows of $558.44 million on Friday, November 7, one of the largest single-day outflows in weeks. Related Reading: Get Ready â The End Of November Will Be Massive For XRP, CEO Says Unless Bitcoinâs apparent demand begins to recover in the coming weeks and LTH sell-offs continue, then this might continue to weigh on price action and postpone the next leg of Bitcoinâs rally. In this case, we might continue to see Bitcoin consolidating between $101,000 and $103,000 for the rest of November. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $101,655, down by 0.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin Correction Nears Peak Point â Is A Rebound Underway?
The Bitcoin market has suffered through a disappointing performance over the past few weeks, leading to a price retest of the $100,000 support zone. However, an exciting on-chain evaluation predicts a positive price action in the near future. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Launch Recovery To $120,000 If This Condition Holds â Details Bitcoin Price Below Average Cost â Details On November 8, popular market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared on X the underlying reasons behind his expectations of a bullish reversal. Kesmeciâs post mostly depends on the Bitcoin: 90-Day Market Price vs Realized Price Gradient Oscillator. Essentially, this indicator functions as a means of tracking the distance of Bitcoinâs market price deviation from its realized price over the past 90 days. A positive reading from the metric indicates a faster rising market price of Bitcoin, compared to its average cost basis (realized price), thereby showing growing bullish momentum. A negative reading, on the other hand, connotes a significant decline of market price beneath realized price, a sign of bearish momentum, which could extend into a âcoolingâ phase. In the post on X, Kesmeci reveals that the metricâs reading has fallen to a value of -1.27 STDV (Standard Deviations). As previously explained, this indicates that the Bitcoin price has greatly fallen beneath its historical cost basis, a development that could point out that the flagship cryptocurrencyâs price momentum has reached a state of âextreme cooldown.â Expressed more simply, Bitcoin investors are paying much less than the amount its recent buyers did on average to acquire Bitcoin. If more investors were to purchase Bitcoin around its current price, there could be a total or significant absorption of what already appears to be exhausted bearish pressure. Notably, Kemesci also referenced past occurrences to buttress his prediction of an imminent price rebound. According to the analyst, periods where this metric fell below -1 STDV have often preceded the ends of downtrends and the beginnings of price expansions. We see this occurrence twice in recent months: first, in April, where Bitcoin saw a rise from about $82,000 to $100,000; and second, where the price saw a growth from $108,000 in July to reach $124,000. Thus, if historical data is reliable, the Bitcoin price could soon put in a new price bottom, after which significant movement to the upside would likely follow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Valuation Reset: MVRV Slides Into Macro Correction Territory â What This Means Bitcoin Price Overview As of this writing, Bitcoin stands at a valuation of approximately $102,023, reflecting a slight loss of about 0.94% since the last day. Featured image from Flickr, chart from Tradingview
Big Bitcoin Holders Are Selling, But Few Buyers Are Stepping In As Demand Weakens
Bitcoinâs price has struggled to maintain stability above $102,000 in recent days, and data shows this is due to an apparent imbalance between selling pressure and fresh demand. On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that while long-term holders have been actively taking profits, the market is showing limited capacity to absorb their sell-offs. This is a contrast to previous phases of the bull run, where rising demand was able to offset increased long-term holder activity. Related Reading: XRPâs Price Doesnât Match Its Growing Real-World Use, Study Finds Rising Long-Term Holder Selling Pressure Mirrors Past Bull Cycles Data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, which was initially shared by Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, shows an interesting change in dynamics among Bitcoin holder activity that could shape the cryptocurrencyâs next move. Julio Moreno explained that long-term holder (LTH) selling is a normal pattern in bull markets as investors take profits when Bitcoin approaches or surpasses all-time highs. The CryptoQuant data shows that the 30-day sum of LTH spending, represented by the purple line in the chart image below, has been increasing since early October. This behavior follows previous bullish rally phases, such as those seen in early and late 2024, when profit-taking coincided with expanding demand, and so Bitcoin pushed to new record prices. The chart accompanying Morenoâs post shows green areas representing periods of positive apparent demand growth and red areas indicating contraction. During January to March 2024 and November to December 2024, LTH selloffs occurred as demand expanded. Bitcoin Long-term Holder Spending Since October 2025, however, that trend has reversed. Even as LTH selling increased, demand has entered a red zone, showing that the marketâs ability to absorb this selling pressure has weakened. This has coincided with Bitcoinâs struggle to sustain its position above $102,000, suggesting that price growth might be losing momentum. Sustained Weak Demand Could Delay Next Rally Moreno noted that the critical factor to watch isnât just the volume of long-term holder sell-offs but whether demand growth can keep pace. When demand is strong, the influx of supply from long-term holders often drives healthy consolidation before another price surge. In contrast, when demand falls behind, the result tends to be prolonged corrections or sideways movement. A large portion of that demand now comes from Spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have seen a sharp slowdown in inflows. Data from SosoValue shows that US-based Spot Bitcoin ETFs ended last week with net outflows of $558.44 million on Friday, November 7, one of the largest single-day outflows in weeks. Related Reading: Get Ready â The End Of November Will Be Massive For XRP, CEO Says Unless Bitcoinâs apparent demand begins to recover in the coming weeks and LTH sell-offs continue, then this might continue to weigh on price action and postpone the next leg of Bitcoinâs rally. In this case, we might continue to see Bitcoin consolidating between $101,000 and $103,000 for the rest of November. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $101,655, down by 0.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin Correction Nears Peak Point â Is A Rebound Underway?
The Bitcoin market has suffered through a disappointing performance over the past few weeks, leading to a price retest of the $100,000 support zone. However, an exciting on-chain evaluation predicts a positive price action in the near future. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Launch Recovery To $120,000 If This Condition Holds â Details Bitcoin Price Below Average Cost â Details On November 8, popular market analyst Burak Kesmeci shared on X the underlying reasons behind his expectations of a bullish reversal. Kesmeciâs post mostly depends on the Bitcoin: 90-Day Market Price vs Realized Price Gradient Oscillator. Essentially, this indicator functions as a means of tracking the distance of Bitcoinâs market price deviation from its realized price over the past 90 days. A positive reading from the metric indicates a faster rising market price of Bitcoin, compared to its average cost basis (realized price), thereby showing growing bullish momentum. A negative reading, on the other hand, connotes a significant decline of market price beneath realized price, a sign of bearish momentum, which could extend into a âcoolingâ phase. In the post on X, Kesmeci reveals that the metricâs reading has fallen to a value of -1.27 STDV (Standard Deviations). As previously explained, this indicates that the Bitcoin price has greatly fallen beneath its historical cost basis, a development that could point out that the flagship cryptocurrencyâs price momentum has reached a state of âextreme cooldown.â Expressed more simply, Bitcoin investors are paying much less than the amount its recent buyers did on average to acquire Bitcoin. If more investors were to purchase Bitcoin around its current price, there could be a total or significant absorption of what already appears to be exhausted bearish pressure. Notably, Kemesci also referenced past occurrences to buttress his prediction of an imminent price rebound. According to the analyst, periods where this metric fell below -1 STDV have often preceded the ends of downtrends and the beginnings of price expansions. We see this occurrence twice in recent months: first, in April, where Bitcoin saw a rise from about $82,000 to $100,000; and second, where the price saw a growth from $108,000 in July to reach $124,000. Thus, if historical data is reliable, the Bitcoin price could soon put in a new price bottom, after which significant movement to the upside would likely follow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Valuation Reset: MVRV Slides Into Macro Correction Territory â What This Means Bitcoin Price Overview As of this writing, Bitcoin stands at a valuation of approximately $102,023, reflecting a slight loss of about 0.94% since the last day. Featured image from Flickr, chart from Tradingview