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Bitcoin Funding Rate Flips Again And History Says A Rally Is Around The Corner
Bitcoinâs price has declined slightly following recent gains, falling 2.3% over the past 24 hours to trade at approximately $107,205. This latest movement places the asset 4.1% below its all-time high of over $111,000 recorded last month. Despite the short-term dip, some analysts see familiar signs in derivatives data that could point to the next phase of market movement. Related Reading: Why Bitcoinâs Calm Rally Could Be a Setup for a Massive Breakout, Analyst Reveals Funding Rate Rebounds Signal Potential Upside for Bitcoin According to recent insights shared by on-chain analyst âninoâ on CryptoQuantâs QuickTake platform, Bitcoin may be repeating a funding rate pattern that has historically led to price rebounds. The data shows the assetâs funding rate briefly dipping into negative territory before beginning to reverse, a pattern that has aligned with price recoveries earlier in the year. Ninoâs analysis suggests this reversal, particularly the 72-hour moving averages exiting the oversold zone and producing a yellow-blue-black signal formation, could indicate a potential round of short position liquidations. The funding rate, still below levels typically associated with excessive bullish sentiment, may also imply that traders have yet to become overconfident, leaving room for additional upside without immediate overheating in derivatives markets. Ninoâs observation focuses on market structure and derivative sentiment, highlighting how positioning in perpetual futures markets could precede notable spot price moves. In particular, when funding rates turn negative and then begin to climb, they often reflect the unwinding of overly bearish bets by traders who shorted BTC at high leverage. As these traders are forced to close positions, the resulting buy pressure can act as a short-term catalyst. This setup has played out multiple times earlier in 2025, and the current conditions suggest it may be occurring again. By keeping track of moving averages and sentiment zones, traders may interpret these signals as part of a broader cyclical trend. Binance Volume Share Signals Key Trends in Market Liquidity Separately, another analyst from CryptoQuant, Burak Kesmeci, addressed structural shifts in spot trading liquidity, particularly Binanceâs share of global trading volume. Kesmeci emphasized that Binanceâs dominance remains an important barometer of institutional participation and overall market health. He explained that an increase in Binanceâs spot volume share is often associated with higher liquidity and smoother price discovery. Conversely, if Binance were to fall below a 30% volume threshold, it could signal a move toward more âfragmented liquidityâ across exchanges such as Coinbase or Upbit. Such shifts could lead to more volatility and less predictable trading behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Expect QuietâBut On-Chain Data Suggests Chaos At present, Binanceâs volume share is showing signs of recovery, suggesting that capital is still flowing through the exchange and supporting a relatively stable trading environment. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Tron Has Plenty Of Room For A 2025 Bull Run, Risk Metric Signals
The Tron (TRX) Sharpe Ratio suggests the cryptocurrencyâs price may be far from overheating, a sign that the coin could have more upside potential. Tron Sharpe Ratio Is Still Significantly Below Overheating Zone In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the latest trend in the Sharpe Ratio of Tron. The âSharpe Ratioâ refers to an indicator that compares the returns of an asset against the risk associated with it. The numerator in the ratio, the âreturnsâ portion, is defined as the difference between the average return of the coin and the risk-free return (that is, the theoretical return involved with an asset carrying zero risk) over a given period. The denominator, the âriskâ part, is the assetâs standard deviation of returns over the same window (in other words, its volatility). Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Expect QuietâBut On-Chain Data Suggests Chaos When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the cryptocurrency is printing returns that outweigh its risk. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the assetâs performance has been lackluster compared to its volatility. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Tron Sharpe Ratio over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Tron Sharpe Ratio fell below the 1 level earlier, but its value has since returned above the mark. According to the quant, the metric being above the level has historically accompanied bullish price action. An extremely high value, however, has proven to be an overheating signal, with the asset tending to arrive at a top. âWhenever the Adjusted Sharpe Ratio climbs above 40, it often signals a market thatâs overheating,â explains the analyst. âIn the past, readings over 40 have lined up well with local tops.â So far since its return above 1, the Tron Sharpe Ratio has only managed to reach a high of 8.3, which is clearly significantly below this cutoff. This trend could mean that TRX hasnât been too overheated. âWith TRXâs Sharpe Ratio still far from historical peaks, the data suggests thereâs plenty of upside room for a potential bull run in 2025,â says the quant. It now remains to be seen how the coin will develop in the near future, given this pattern. Related Reading: Ethereum To $3,400? On-Chain Shows No Big Hurdles Ahead In some other news, the Tron network set a new record in USDT transaction volume last month, as CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has pointed out in an X post. In total, the month of May saw over $694 billion in USDT transaction volume on the Tron network. Around $411 billion of these transfers were of a size thatâs generally associated with the whales. TRX Price At the time of writing, Tron is trading around $0.272, down 1% in the last week. Featured image from iStock.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin Funding Rate Flips Again And History Says A Rally Is Around The Corner
Bitcoinâs price has declined slightly following recent gains, falling 2.3% over the past 24 hours to trade at approximately $107,205. This latest movement places the asset 4.1% below its all-time high of over $111,000 recorded last month. Despite the short-term dip, some analysts see familiar signs in derivatives data that could point to the next phase of market movement. Related Reading: Why Bitcoinâs Calm Rally Could Be a Setup for a Massive Breakout, Analyst Reveals Funding Rate Rebounds Signal Potential Upside for Bitcoin According to recent insights shared by on-chain analyst âninoâ on CryptoQuantâs QuickTake platform, Bitcoin may be repeating a funding rate pattern that has historically led to price rebounds. The data shows the assetâs funding rate briefly dipping into negative territory before beginning to reverse, a pattern that has aligned with price recoveries earlier in the year. Ninoâs analysis suggests this reversal, particularly the 72-hour moving averages exiting the oversold zone and producing a yellow-blue-black signal formation, could indicate a potential round of short position liquidations. The funding rate, still below levels typically associated with excessive bullish sentiment, may also imply that traders have yet to become overconfident, leaving room for additional upside without immediate overheating in derivatives markets. Ninoâs observation focuses on market structure and derivative sentiment, highlighting how positioning in perpetual futures markets could precede notable spot price moves. In particular, when funding rates turn negative and then begin to climb, they often reflect the unwinding of overly bearish bets by traders who shorted BTC at high leverage. As these traders are forced to close positions, the resulting buy pressure can act as a short-term catalyst. This setup has played out multiple times earlier in 2025, and the current conditions suggest it may be occurring again. By keeping track of moving averages and sentiment zones, traders may interpret these signals as part of a broader cyclical trend. Binance Volume Share Signals Key Trends in Market Liquidity Separately, another analyst from CryptoQuant, Burak Kesmeci, addressed structural shifts in spot trading liquidity, particularly Binanceâs share of global trading volume. Kesmeci emphasized that Binanceâs dominance remains an important barometer of institutional participation and overall market health. He explained that an increase in Binanceâs spot volume share is often associated with higher liquidity and smoother price discovery. Conversely, if Binance were to fall below a 30% volume threshold, it could signal a move toward more âfragmented liquidityâ across exchanges such as Coinbase or Upbit. Such shifts could lead to more volatility and less predictable trading behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Expect QuietâBut On-Chain Data Suggests Chaos At present, Binanceâs volume share is showing signs of recovery, suggesting that capital is still flowing through the exchange and supporting a relatively stable trading environment. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Tron Has Plenty Of Room For A 2025 Bull Run, Risk Metric Signals
The Tron (TRX) Sharpe Ratio suggests the cryptocurrencyâs price may be far from overheating, a sign that the coin could have more upside potential. Tron Sharpe Ratio Is Still Significantly Below Overheating Zone In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has talked about the latest trend in the Sharpe Ratio of Tron. The âSharpe Ratioâ refers to an indicator that compares the returns of an asset against the risk associated with it. The numerator in the ratio, the âreturnsâ portion, is defined as the difference between the average return of the coin and the risk-free return (that is, the theoretical return involved with an asset carrying zero risk) over a given period. The denominator, the âriskâ part, is the assetâs standard deviation of returns over the same window (in other words, its volatility). Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Expect QuietâBut On-Chain Data Suggests Chaos When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the cryptocurrency is printing returns that outweigh its risk. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the assetâs performance has been lackluster compared to its volatility. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Tron Sharpe Ratio over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Tron Sharpe Ratio fell below the 1 level earlier, but its value has since returned above the mark. According to the quant, the metric being above the level has historically accompanied bullish price action. An extremely high value, however, has proven to be an overheating signal, with the asset tending to arrive at a top. âWhenever the Adjusted Sharpe Ratio climbs above 40, it often signals a market thatâs overheating,â explains the analyst. âIn the past, readings over 40 have lined up well with local tops.â So far since its return above 1, the Tron Sharpe Ratio has only managed to reach a high of 8.3, which is clearly significantly below this cutoff. This trend could mean that TRX hasnât been too overheated. âWith TRXâs Sharpe Ratio still far from historical peaks, the data suggests thereâs plenty of upside room for a potential bull run in 2025,â says the quant. It now remains to be seen how the coin will develop in the near future, given this pattern. Related Reading: Ethereum To $3,400? On-Chain Shows No Big Hurdles Ahead In some other news, the Tron network set a new record in USDT transaction volume last month, as CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has pointed out in an X post. In total, the month of May saw over $694 billion in USDT transaction volume on the Tron network. Around $411 billion of these transfers were of a size thatâs generally associated with the whales. TRX Price At the time of writing, Tron is trading around $0.272, down 1% in the last week. Featured image from iStock.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com